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Should Bears trade 14th pick in NFL draft?

Bears #97 Michael Haynes has Saints QB J.T. O'Sullivan grasp during 2nd qtr game action....JON SALL/SUN-TIMES

Bears #97 Michael Haynes has Saints QB J.T. O'Sullivan in the grasp during 2nd qtr game action....JON SALL/SUN-TIMES

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DEALING 14

Since 2001, the No. 14 pick has been traded five times:

Trading down

2001: No. 14 traded for 21 and 51.

The Buccaneers: drafted OT Ken-yatta Walker (14).

The Bills: picked CB Nate Clements (21); traded 51 to the Broncos for 58 (RB Travis Henry) and 110 (LB Brandon Spoon).

2002: No. 14 traded for 15 and 115.

The Giants: drafted TE Jeremy Shockey (14).

The Titans: picked DT Albert Haynesworth (15) and CB Tony Beckham (115).

2007: No. 14 traded for 25, 59 and 164.

The Jets: drafted CB Darrelle Revis (14).

The Panthers: picked LB Jon Beason (25), C Ryan Kalil (59) and LB Tim Shaw (164).

Trading up

2003: No. 14 and 193 traded for 13.

The Patriots: drafted DT Ty Warren (13).

The Bears: picked DE Michael Haynes (14); traded 176, 193 and 218 to the Jaguars for WR Justin Gage (143).

2012: No. 14 and 45 traded for 6.

The Cowboys: drafted CB Morris Claiborne (6).

The Rams: picked DT Michael Brockers (14); traded 45 to the Bears (who drafted WR Alshon Jeffery) for 50 (RB Isaiah Pead) and 150 (G Rokevious Watkins).

Updated: June 7, 2014 6:24AM



An oil tycoon’s chart dictated the value of NFL draft picks for almost 20 years.

In 1991, Mike McCoy, a former Cowboys minority owner, examined draft-day trades from the previous four years. From that, he assigned each pick a value — starting with 2,500 points for the first overall — and created a scale.

Make the numbers match, and a trade made sense.

As Cowboys coaches and executives spread throughout the league, they took versions of the chart with them.

While vestiges of the chart ­remain, its relevance changed in 2011, when the rookie pay scale ­decreased.

“Teams are doing more things that make sense functionally from a football perspective,” NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock said. “And they’re throwing the trade chart out the window.”

That doesn’t mean Bears general manager Phil Emery won’t use past as prologue when he weighs a trade proposition for the 14th pick Thursday.

The Bears have charted how many players at each position have been taken in the first round of the last five and 10 years. And while it won’t be used as their Bible — Emery believes this year’s first round will tilt toward offense — it’s a good starting point.

“It’s valuable when discussing trade opportunities,” Emery said. “You start looking at what’s left on the board, historically what should be left, what those players are, what grades you have on them.”

Whether Emery uses his ­history lesson is another question altogether.

He’s likely to stand pat at No. 14 and draft one of six players on his first-round shopping list, though one could make the case for trading up or down.

Move up? The Bears have specific starter needs: a three-technique defensive tackle and a safety. A veteran roster mandates they fill them immediately while their championship-contending window is open.

Depending on how far Emery has to move, giving up a second- or third-rounder this year — or even a higher pick next season — could be appropriate.

“Trade-ups are expensive, obviously,” Emery said. “And you just have to feel like that player you’re trading up for makes a dynamic difference in your team.”

Trade down? The Bears employ 15 players they drafted, the lowest number in football and less than half that of the Packers’ NFL-best 33. They must get younger. Grabbing an extra mid-round pick to move down a few slots makes sense — if they land a player on their list.

But even that’s tricky.

Suppose the Bears are offered to move down six picks, Emery said. He would only make the trade if he would be comfortable taking any of six players still left on the board. He wouldn’t assume teams between the two picks would avoid those players because they could deal their selection, too.

“You will rank-order them and you may end up with that last one on the list,” he said. “But that last one you’d better want — or you shouldn’t trade.”

Email: pfinley@suntimes.com

Twitter: @patrickfinley



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